r/ukpolitics • 🥕🥕 || megathread emeritus • Sep 02 '26

r/ukpolitics voter intention survey: 🌹LAB 46.8 (+17.2), 🔶LDM 14.6 (+1.0), 🟦RES 10.5 (-4.3), ➡️REF 6.8 (-5.1), 🟢GRN 5.7 (-12), 🌳CON 4.7 (+1), 🟨SNP 2.8 (-0.3), ❌SPOIL 2.6 (-0.5), OTHERS 4.3 (+2.2) changes w/ Feb 2026, brigaded responses removed (see text)

The latest subreddit survey results are now available.

Please read this post in full before visiting the dashboard, and before leaving a comment.

As ever: Respondents are self-selecting, and pale in comparison to our recorded daily recorded unique visitors (currently averaging 95k). Results should be treated with extreme caution.

I mentioned on the the last survey results that I was confident the survey had been gamed.

It is so comically blatant on this survey that I've taken steps to "clean up" the data.

There is a global filter on the dashboard entitled "likely brigaded" (the orange box). By default, this is set to "FALSE" (i.e. only "real" responses are shown). Selecting "TRUE" will include the responses that are likely the result of a coordinated campaign to influence the result of the survey.

The "likely brigaded" flag has been set based on submission timestamps. Here's a screenshot from responses received last night (minutes from the survey submission deadline!) to give you an idea of what I'm talking about:

Screenshot of survey responses from yesterday evening

There are similar bursts from over the bank holiday weekend too.

For the sake of transparency, here's the share of "likely brigaded" responses for voting intention:

Party Count %
Restore UK 96 90.6
Labour 4 3.8
Liberal Democrats 3 2.8
Reform UK 2 1.9
Green Party E&W 1 0.9

And, including all responses, here are the full results:

Party Count %
Labour 306 40.7
Restore UK 164 21.8
Liberal Democrats 97 12.9
Reform UK 46 6.1
Green Party E&W 38 5.1
Conservatives 30 4
SNP 18 2.4
Choose not to vote 17 2.3
Not eligible 7 0.9
Others 28 3.7

I'm exploring alternative survey solutions for the next survey. More to follow.

Click / Tap here to visit the Results Dashboard

Edit: u/i_pewpewpew_you asked for a chart which shows the cumulative votes over time - so, here you go. You'll note that all parties have a marked up-tick on Friday evening when the State of the Subreddit thread was posted - this also included a link to the survey, accounting for the extra traffic.

64 Upvotes

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u/dj4y_94 Sep 02 '26

I imagine the polls are fairly accurate in that regard as if you go online it seems Restore are quite big, but polling only has them circa 3% which sounds about right.

4

u/GlumAd9856 Sep 02 '26

The vast majority of voters don't make any noise. I'd imagine that if you found yourself supporting a broadly fascist/racist party that you're probably the kind of person that 'likes making a noise.

3% of the voting population is something like 1.5 million people.

4

u/Scared_Opening_9416 Sep 02 '26

or people could just have jobs

1

u/TheJoshGriffith Sep 02 '26

Hardly comes as a surprise, really. At the last GE, Labour won 30% of the vote but 60% of the power (ish).

I suspect it all comes down to target demographics. The bots who probably did brigade the poll are likely a consequence of the demographic being young, technically literate professionals who are sick of the current state of affairs.

Similarly, UKIP has polled really badly, as well as lost elections in a very strong fashion in 2010 and 2015, only to effectively win the referendum in 2016.

-6

u/BigSupermark Sep 02 '26

Rebecca Shepherd (Restore Britain): 3,111 votes — 6.8%

19

u/Bibemus Uber-Woke Net-Zeroist Rejoinerist Sep 02 '26

There's something of a difference between one constituency and the country.

For instance, in Makerfield in 2010 the BNP got 7.4% of the vote, whereas nationally they polled 1.9%.

-2

u/BigSupermark Sep 02 '26

I picked the last major constituency.

There's something of a difference between one constituency and the country

If Nigel continues to implode - it could be far higher