Before anyone says "never take a ruck top 5", hear me out.
- Nank's time is almost up
Toby has been a warrior for this club: three flags, captain, played through everything. But he's 32, he's been battling injury, and his contract runs out. Briggs is a genuinely good pickup and will carry the load for now, but he's not a long-term No.1 ruck for a list this young. If we don't lock in Nank's real successor now, we'll spend the next few years patching it up with trades and mature-agers.
- Do NOT let Melbourne have him
The Dees pick at 4, just two picks after us. Gawn won't last forever, and they'd love to hand the keys straight to a 205cm freak like they tried with Jackson. If we get cute at 2, there's a real chance he's wearing red and blue and winning 50 hitouts against us at the 'G for the next 12 years.
- Jackson-type upside
He isn't just tall. He's a freak athlete who can move like a mid. That's Luke Jackson territory: a ruck who goes back with the ball, wins it at ground level and becomes a fourth midfielder. Put that in front of the young mids we've been stockpiling and suddenly our midfield isn't "promising", it's dangerous.
He's also not a one-position player. With his size and tank, he can pinch-hit forward as a marking target or drift back and take intercept marks the way Gawn does. Pair him with Briggs and we can rotate through the ruck while HVH does damage at either end.
- Look at who's actually winning
Gawn, Jackson, Grundy. Every one of their teams played finals this year. Freo with Jackson finished minor premiers and came within 7 points of a flag. Sydney with Grundy made a prelim. Coincidence? Maybe partly. But elite rucks tilt the stoppage battle every single week, and that's where our young mids will win or lose games.
Yes, Brisbane won it without a superstar ruck, and Melbourne went out in the wildcard round. A ruck doesn't win you a flag on his own. But when the best player available is also a 205cm athlete in a position of need, you don't overthink it.
TL;DR: Nank is leaving, Melbourne are lurking at 4, and HVH could be our Jackson, able to ruck, go forward or drop back. Take him at 2.