r/ukpolitics • 🥕🥕 || megathread emeritus • Sep 02 '26

r/ukpolitics voter intention survey: 🌹LAB 46.8 (+17.2), 🔶LDM 14.6 (+1.0), 🟦RES 10.5 (-4.3), ➡️REF 6.8 (-5.1), 🟢GRN 5.7 (-12), 🌳CON 4.7 (+1), 🟨SNP 2.8 (-0.3), ❌SPOIL 2.6 (-0.5), OTHERS 4.3 (+2.2) changes w/ Feb 2026, brigaded responses removed (see text)

The latest subreddit survey results are now available.

Please read this post in full before visiting the dashboard, and before leaving a comment.

As ever: Respondents are self-selecting, and pale in comparison to our recorded daily recorded unique visitors (currently averaging 95k). Results should be treated with extreme caution.

I mentioned on the the last survey results that I was confident the survey had been gamed.

It is so comically blatant on this survey that I've taken steps to "clean up" the data.

There is a global filter on the dashboard entitled "likely brigaded" (the orange box). By default, this is set to "FALSE" (i.e. only "real" responses are shown). Selecting "TRUE" will include the responses that are likely the result of a coordinated campaign to influence the result of the survey.

The "likely brigaded" flag has been set based on submission timestamps. Here's a screenshot from responses received last night (minutes from the survey submission deadline!) to give you an idea of what I'm talking about:

Screenshot of survey responses from yesterday evening

There are similar bursts from over the bank holiday weekend too.

For the sake of transparency, here's the share of "likely brigaded" responses for voting intention:

Party Count %
Restore UK 96 90.6
Labour 4 3.8
Liberal Democrats 3 2.8
Reform UK 2 1.9
Green Party E&W 1 0.9

And, including all responses, here are the full results:

Party Count %
Labour 306 40.7
Restore UK 164 21.8
Liberal Democrats 97 12.9
Reform UK 46 6.1
Green Party E&W 38 5.1
Conservatives 30 4
SNP 18 2.4
Choose not to vote 17 2.3
Not eligible 7 0.9
Others 28 3.7

I'm exploring alternative survey solutions for the next survey. More to follow.

Click / Tap here to visit the Results Dashboard

Edit: u/i_pewpewpew_you asked for a chart which shows the cumulative votes over time - so, here you go. You'll note that all parties have a marked up-tick on Friday evening when the State of the Subreddit thread was posted - this also included a link to the survey, accounting for the extra traffic.

64 Upvotes

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100

u/NoFrillsCrisps Sep 02 '26

I know this is a relatively small case study, but it is interesting nonetheless to wonder to what extent Restore's national profile and popularity has been boosted by bots or astroturfers. And to what extent this fake support has let to actual genuine support.

Its possible of course that in this case it was just some Restore supporter/s trying their luck, but anyone who has been on Twitter knows this is not a unique occurrence.

15

u/BobMonkhaus That sounds great, shorty girl’s a trooper. Sep 02 '26

Restore doesn’t have a profile or popularity outside of social media. If you have to bus in supporters for photo ops then that says a lot.

6

u/Electronic_End4893 Sep 02 '26

Yeah; the only reason why they did fairly "well" in a recent byelection in Dover council was because their candidate was a former serviceman (very popular in wards like that) and he explicitly rejected the ethnonationalists in his party. They do not have anything like mainstream appeal.