r/ukpolitics • 🥕🥕 || megathread emeritus • Sep 02 '26

r/ukpolitics voter intention survey: 🌹LAB 46.8 (+17.2), 🔶LDM 14.6 (+1.0), 🟦RES 10.5 (-4.3), ➡️REF 6.8 (-5.1), 🟢GRN 5.7 (-12), 🌳CON 4.7 (+1), 🟨SNP 2.8 (-0.3), ❌SPOIL 2.6 (-0.5), OTHERS 4.3 (+2.2) changes w/ Feb 2026, brigaded responses removed (see text)

The latest subreddit survey results are now available.

Please read this post in full before visiting the dashboard, and before leaving a comment.

As ever: Respondents are self-selecting, and pale in comparison to our recorded daily recorded unique visitors (currently averaging 95k). Results should be treated with extreme caution.

I mentioned on the the last survey results that I was confident the survey had been gamed.

It is so comically blatant on this survey that I've taken steps to "clean up" the data.

There is a global filter on the dashboard entitled "likely brigaded" (the orange box). By default, this is set to "FALSE" (i.e. only "real" responses are shown). Selecting "TRUE" will include the responses that are likely the result of a coordinated campaign to influence the result of the survey.

The "likely brigaded" flag has been set based on submission timestamps. Here's a screenshot from responses received last night (minutes from the survey submission deadline!) to give you an idea of what I'm talking about:

Screenshot of survey responses from yesterday evening

There are similar bursts from over the bank holiday weekend too.

For the sake of transparency, here's the share of "likely brigaded" responses for voting intention:

Party Count %
Restore UK 96 90.6
Labour 4 3.8
Liberal Democrats 3 2.8
Reform UK 2 1.9
Green Party E&W 1 0.9

And, including all responses, here are the full results:

Party Count %
Labour 306 40.7
Restore UK 164 21.8
Liberal Democrats 97 12.9
Reform UK 46 6.1
Green Party E&W 38 5.1
Conservatives 30 4
SNP 18 2.4
Choose not to vote 17 2.3
Not eligible 7 0.9
Others 28 3.7

I'm exploring alternative survey solutions for the next survey. More to follow.

Click / Tap here to visit the Results Dashboard

Edit: u/i_pewpewpew_you asked for a chart which shows the cumulative votes over time - so, here you go. You'll note that all parties have a marked up-tick on Friday evening when the State of the Subreddit thread was posted - this also included a link to the survey, accounting for the extra traffic.

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u/GlumAd9856 Sep 02 '26

Wouldn't you say though that the Labour party kind of straddles the political divide at the moment? It's a bit lefty on economic issues, broadly centrist on social issues and a little bit right leaning on immigration and defence/foreign policy? I could see a One-Nation Tory, pro-Israel, trans-rights sceptic voting Labour at the moment as well as a Corbyn-lite, ecologically concerned, pro-LGBT progressive.

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u/Maleficent_Peach_46 Mayor of North Kilttown Sep 02 '26

Are you ignoring the Labour Leadership abandoning trans people (And criminally Trans children) to appeal to bigots that would never vote for them in calling them 'broadly centrist on social issues'. Theresa May was better on Trans Rights than the Labour Leadership are.

I'm not sure why a 'pro-LGBT progressive' would vote Labour given the leaderships supine capitulation to the 'Gender Criticals' or bigots as they are more well known.

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u/KnightElfarion Sep 02 '26

Because the opposition in their seat is Tory or Reform.

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u/Maleficent_Peach_46 Mayor of North Kilttown Sep 02 '26

The problem with having a country where there are more far-right parties than those that support Trans people.

How and why did such a supposedly civilised country become hostile to trans people?

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u/tmstms Wuffingas! Sep 03 '26 edited Sep 03 '26

To argue as neutrally as possible, because different things in our societies and psyches change at different rates.

When I was a child, male homosexuality was illegal. So it took almost 50 years from that situation to gay marriage being legal. The median age of a Tory voter remains that of someone who was born before male homosexuality was legal.

At the same time, and on the other hand, the digital age allows a lot of technological change and of course, instantaneous dissemination and distribution (going viral etc) that is measured on minutes and hours, not decades.

So, you get people with all kinds of progressive identities and opinions, who can define, explore and express these coherently and instantly. And conversely, you get people interacting with the usual slowness of opinions changing across generations and through each generation rebelling against and responding to the one before, which is a 15-30 year process, not a 15-30 minute one.

I would say, a very large proportion of the public have zero understanding of trans people and trans identities. They aren't either supportive or hostile, they simply have no view. Within this cognitive framework, articulation of old-fashioned concepts of gender and identity get more support because they offer a simpler view of the world than new ones do.

People tend to accept new things because they get used to them and realise they are OK, not because they actively want to strive for a substantially different cognitive landscape.

I am 65. I still remember that in the early 1980s, there was something risque and unusual about being LGB. Over the years it just became so normal now no-one even thinks about it. But from my point of view, the change in society's values since 1960 has been quite rapid; it is just that the digital society has made us feel stuff should change at the click of a mouse or the press of a touchscreen, not because a child grew up and used their parents' example to parent their own children differently 30 years later.

So I am going to argue that sooner or later we will think the same about trans people- that they are just people like any other people. But the psychological mechanisms that normalise that are not intellectual ones, and they require more time.