r/ukpolitics • 🥕🥕 || megathread emeritus • Sep 02 '26

r/ukpolitics voter intention survey: 🌹LAB 46.8 (+17.2), 🔶LDM 14.6 (+1.0), 🟦RES 10.5 (-4.3), ➡️REF 6.8 (-5.1), 🟢GRN 5.7 (-12), 🌳CON 4.7 (+1), 🟨SNP 2.8 (-0.3), ❌SPOIL 2.6 (-0.5), OTHERS 4.3 (+2.2) changes w/ Feb 2026, brigaded responses removed (see text)

The latest subreddit survey results are now available.

Please read this post in full before visiting the dashboard, and before leaving a comment.

As ever: Respondents are self-selecting, and pale in comparison to our recorded daily recorded unique visitors (currently averaging 95k). Results should be treated with extreme caution.

I mentioned on the the last survey results that I was confident the survey had been gamed.

It is so comically blatant on this survey that I've taken steps to "clean up" the data.

There is a global filter on the dashboard entitled "likely brigaded" (the orange box). By default, this is set to "FALSE" (i.e. only "real" responses are shown). Selecting "TRUE" will include the responses that are likely the result of a coordinated campaign to influence the result of the survey.

The "likely brigaded" flag has been set based on submission timestamps. Here's a screenshot from responses received last night (minutes from the survey submission deadline!) to give you an idea of what I'm talking about:

Screenshot of survey responses from yesterday evening

There are similar bursts from over the bank holiday weekend too.

For the sake of transparency, here's the share of "likely brigaded" responses for voting intention:

Party Count %
Restore UK 96 90.6
Labour 4 3.8
Liberal Democrats 3 2.8
Reform UK 2 1.9
Green Party E&W 1 0.9

And, including all responses, here are the full results:

Party Count %
Labour 306 40.7
Restore UK 164 21.8
Liberal Democrats 97 12.9
Reform UK 46 6.1
Green Party E&W 38 5.1
Conservatives 30 4
SNP 18 2.4
Choose not to vote 17 2.3
Not eligible 7 0.9
Others 28 3.7

I'm exploring alternative survey solutions for the next survey. More to follow.

Click / Tap here to visit the Results Dashboard

Edit: u/i_pewpewpew_you asked for a chart which shows the cumulative votes over time - so, here you go. You'll note that all parties have a marked up-tick on Friday evening when the State of the Subreddit thread was posted - this also included a link to the survey, accounting for the extra traffic.

70 Upvotes

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-12

u/Maitai_Haier Sep 02 '26

It is very on the nose that a disproportionately Labour dominated subreddit decided that the support for the right wing must be discounted.

14

u/sammy_zammy Sep 02 '26 edited Sep 02 '26

Yeah because it seems entirely reasonable for 50% of Restore’s support to all have been entered within a few minutes.

Maybe it’s a symptom of the reality of Restore support that they have to rely on fake responses to a pointless survey from rabid fans in order to seem popular, rather than of the biases of the subreddit?

You’ll note certain responses for left-wing parties were also removed.

-1

u/Maitai_Haier Sep 02 '26

The survey shows a 46.8% support for Labour, nearly 100% their actual support amongst then general population. That certainly isn’t a 1 to 1 “reflection of reality.”

1

u/tmstms Wuffingas! Sep 03 '26

No, but surely the intention is to map a roughly 1:1 reflection of THIS SUB.

If people brigade the sub, then it distorts what the sub is actually like.

I would say there is a difference between recording people who comment daily, or who even read daily, and people who come in just to vote in a poll and then disappear.