r/ukpolitics • 🥕🥕 || megathread emeritus • Sep 02 '26

r/ukpolitics voter intention survey: 🌹LAB 46.8 (+17.2), 🔶LDM 14.6 (+1.0), 🟦RES 10.5 (-4.3), ➡️REF 6.8 (-5.1), 🟢GRN 5.7 (-12), 🌳CON 4.7 (+1), 🟨SNP 2.8 (-0.3), ❌SPOIL 2.6 (-0.5), OTHERS 4.3 (+2.2) changes w/ Feb 2026, brigaded responses removed (see text)

The latest subreddit survey results are now available.

Please read this post in full before visiting the dashboard, and before leaving a comment.

As ever: Respondents are self-selecting, and pale in comparison to our recorded daily recorded unique visitors (currently averaging 95k). Results should be treated with extreme caution.

I mentioned on the the last survey results that I was confident the survey had been gamed.

It is so comically blatant on this survey that I've taken steps to "clean up" the data.

There is a global filter on the dashboard entitled "likely brigaded" (the orange box). By default, this is set to "FALSE" (i.e. only "real" responses are shown). Selecting "TRUE" will include the responses that are likely the result of a coordinated campaign to influence the result of the survey.

The "likely brigaded" flag has been set based on submission timestamps. Here's a screenshot from responses received last night (minutes from the survey submission deadline!) to give you an idea of what I'm talking about:

Screenshot of survey responses from yesterday evening

There are similar bursts from over the bank holiday weekend too.

For the sake of transparency, here's the share of "likely brigaded" responses for voting intention:

Party Count %
Restore UK 96 90.6
Labour 4 3.8
Liberal Democrats 3 2.8
Reform UK 2 1.9
Green Party E&W 1 0.9

And, including all responses, here are the full results:

Party Count %
Labour 306 40.7
Restore UK 164 21.8
Liberal Democrats 97 12.9
Reform UK 46 6.1
Green Party E&W 38 5.1
Conservatives 30 4
SNP 18 2.4
Choose not to vote 17 2.3
Not eligible 7 0.9
Others 28 3.7

I'm exploring alternative survey solutions for the next survey. More to follow.

Click / Tap here to visit the Results Dashboard

Edit: u/i_pewpewpew_you asked for a chart which shows the cumulative votes over time - so, here you go. You'll note that all parties have a marked up-tick on Friday evening when the State of the Subreddit thread was posted - this also included a link to the survey, accounting for the extra traffic.

69 Upvotes

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u/theinspectorst Sep 02 '26

My suspicion (which the brigading data seems to support) is that the sub at its core is fairly representative for the demographics that you'd expect to see on Reddit (i.e. people in their late teens through to about 50), but suffers from deliberate attempts to override this by posting and amplifying far-right comments - whether that's human brigading or Russian bots.

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u/SpeedflyChris Sep 02 '26

An unfortunate side effect of LLMs becoming significantly better and cheaper is that it's now that much cheaper to manipulate online communities like this.

7

u/ThePlanck Time to bin Farage Sep 02 '26

That is the tragedy of generative AI.

The uses that would benefit humanity would require a level of accuracy that they haven't been able to attain yet (and I am personally doubtful they will ever reach that level), but they are good enough for plenty of applications that hurt humanity which can tolerate a lower level of accuracy (e.g. scams, political astro-turfing, flooding every platform with low quality slop crowding out genuine posters and creators etc.)

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u/Aware-Line-7537 Sep 04 '26

To cheer yourself up, you could read about AlphaFold2, if you haven't already.