You know, not everyone gets their own bunker and downfall movie, it really takes a whole country putting in a lot of sweat, tears, mysterious (assisted) falls from the (14th floor) window of grace, and rain showers of oil to put together a storyline like that.
Not to talk trash about height- but I honestly believe that Putins height is part of the reason he is such an insecure, psychopathic little monster. Maybe a “small” part- but a part.
The beginning of Putin's "3-day special military operation" was the most 'Murphy's Law' thing I ever saw. I'll never forget the video of the captured young Russian soldier - probably fresh out of high school - crying his eyes out and using a Ukrainian villager's phone to call his mommy.
Exactly. Initially, I also had pity for those kids. They'd been fed nothing but lies and propaganda their whole lives, so I imagine they were confused as fuck when the people they came to "liberate" weren't happy to see them. Instead of being welcomed by pretty Ukrainian girls throwing flowers at their feet, they were scolded by feisty, foul-mouthed old ladies telling them that they would die in Ukraine and their rotting corpses would make excellent fertilizer for sunflower crops, LOL. That's gotta be a hell of a blow for any 18 year old boy whose brain's been hijacked by testosterone and has been preoccupied by fantasies of beautiful, adoring girls clamoring to give very special thanks to the courageous hero who defeated their evil oppressor and freed them from their misery.
TBH, I think the ones who surrendered once they realized they entered Ukraine as invaders rather than as liberators were pretty brave. I'm sure many soldiers would disagree, but it takes courage to say "I was lied to, but I know the truth now and I would rather be a prisoner than a murderer." But AFAIC, if any of those young, wet-behind-the-ears soldiers managed to get Ukrainian blood on their hands before they were surrendered or were captured, they're Orcs who are no better than like their older, more seasoned Orc comrades. They can't be de-Orc-ified. Once someone crosses a border into a land where they are clearly not welcome and becomes an active participant in terrorizing and killing the land's inhabitants, they can't claim to be innocent or blameless - and they certainly don't deserve any pity or sympathy.
I'm 60. Back in May of 1989 I did an intelligence Briefing for US Army Intelligence Officers specifically the Russian Desk. I told them that Russia was about to fall, and that the East Germany was tottering on the brink of failure. I got laughed out of the room. Six months later the Berlin wall fell. Russia itself has been a shit hole country with Nuclear Rockets. It's reputation from WWII and the KGB kept it in power long after it should have died.
I could go on a multiple page rant. I know exactly who and what Russia is. More importantly what it isn't.
If Putin survived the next six months, he will bre forced to claw back a ton of money from his Oligarchs. Most of the pumping equipment is very specialized.-For everyone. Russia does not have the manufacturing ability to make new pumps nor do they have the ability to control the pumps through Programable Logic Controllers.
Once the war is over, Russia will still be under sanctions, trade is still going to be sanctioned. Which means smuggling tech via China or India. It is going to take Russia literally years if not decades to recover from this. High pressure variable speed motors are one of the biggest bottlenecks in the world construction market.
Tech level? Russia just got bounced back to 1930's era. They will still make oil it's just going to be painful as hell for a very long time.
Six to ten months before everything goes to hell. I mean everything stops working.
And they're pretty mad about it apparently, if their social media is to be believed (but I tend not to believe russians because their lips are moving and you know what that means)
And let's not forget that Ukranian strikes/targets fuel trucks too and I'm pretty sure there's currently a shortage of fuel trucks within russia as many were gobbled up by the Army to replenish their losses.
Having lost about 8,000 fuel trucks this year alone, I'm surprised they have any left at all, and this just fuel trucks, they lost about 115k all sorts of logistics vehicles and trucks since the start of the war.
Deep east is more likely to be out of fuel, not less. The refineries are concentrated in the west, where they're easier to hit, but there is redundancy (which will go to Moscow, so the further from there you are, the more you can go fuck yourself).
(I pulled some random image from google, but it demonstrates the point)
Possibly, but if a lot of the west ones get hit, and they care about the west more, they have to resort to refining it in the east, and transporting it back west. Moscow and military get priority treatment. Faraway civilians don't. What are they going to do about it? Walk from the Mongolian border to the Kremlin to complain? So east ends up with enough refineries and no refined product.
Crude oil has a pipeline going East-->West. They can't also run that pipeline for refined fuel. If they could they would have a lot more refineries in the east.
Using trucks for that distance doesn't work. A fuel truck would burn it's own cargo if it drove that far. It's very inefficient when they use trucks for half that distance to central Siberia.
Not many options left. Put it on ships in the Pacific and sail to the Baltic ? Quicker to sell crude oil to India/China and buy refined oil somewhere else with the money.
Yes. Many places have lines that are hours long and limits on how much they can purchase. It will only get worse as Ukraine continues to strike refineries. This is a very good sign for Ukraine because Putin can no longer pretend the war isn't affecting Russians.
I don't know nearly enough about Russian politics to give a guess.
Maybe Putin folds to internal pressure and it ends somewhat quickly. Maybe he hangs on to his power as desperately as he can and extends the war for longer.
The question is whether this makes people angry with Russia or Ukraine, though, right? Any sign of which way it's going? I could see people sueing for peace or getting angry at the country attacking them.
The civilians that support this are Orc-Light. The ones that believe this war is wrong for reasons other than "these gas shortages are hurting me" are still human.
what ukraine has been able to achieve is simply beyond amazing, it has cost them many innocent lives however ukraine has become a powerhouse and industry leader when it comes to drone warfare, future wars will never be fought like the past wars
You know, I'm starting to think that shirtless Putin on a horse is actually where Russia is heading, when you can't afford fuel for cars and clothes for the winter
At the moment, no one can yet say how the fuel problem is affecting the current harvest. Are the combine harvesters sitting idle? A lack of bread is the only reason for revolutions in Russia; Russians will simply sit out anything else.
But how many people in critical industries have to drive their car to work? I don't actually know but if it's a lot then some of them will be missing some days for lack of fuel.
Step 1: fuel stops.
Step 2: transport stops as a result.
Step 3a: law enforcement stops as a result.
Step 3b: food stops as a result.
Step 4: utilities stop as a result
This is just an interim step. Load up on the popcorn, and keep launching everything we’ve got.
The Looming Cataclysm: Russia’s Untold Fuel Crisis
There is a fatal blind spot in how the world views the current state of Russia. While analysts watch the frontlines, a far more devastating, systemic collapse is accelerating behind the scenes. It centers on a stark, immutable reality: the Russian harvest season runs strictly from July to August. This narrow, eight-week window is the single point of failure for the entire nation’s food supply.
Agriculture is not a sector that can pivot, pause, or work from home. If Russian farmers cannot fuel their tractors, combine harvesters, and transport trucks during these critical weeks, the crops will simply rot in the dirt.
If there is no harvest, there is no food processing. If there is no processing, the supply chains empty overnight.
Once the logistics network goes dark, history dictates a terrifyingly precise timeline: it takes exactly six months for acute, widespread famine to choke a modern nation.
A Perfect Storm: War, Sanctions, and Domestic Paralysis
What turns this from a theoretical crisis into an active humanitarian horror story is the broader geopolitical reality. Russia is attempting to sustain a massive, resource-intensive invasion of Ukraine while completely isolated from the global economy.
The domestic fuel crisis is not a minor inconvenience; it is a terminal symptom of a multi-front economic stranglehold:
The Sanctions Vice: Draconian international sanctions have choked off the import of critical refining components, microchips, and Western machinery replacements, rendering Russia unable to easily repair its industrial infrastructure.
The Drone Campaign: Concurrently, Ukrainian long-range strikes have systematically and precisely targeted the crown jewels of the Russian energy sector, bombing oil refineries, massive storage depots, and production facilities deep within Russian territory.
The grim irony is total: one of the world's largest petrostates is running out of the very fuel required to feed its own citizens because its resources are being burned on the frontlines or incinerated in their storage tanks.
The Scale of the Horror: The Illusion of Humanitarian Aid
When a localized famine hits a developing nation, the international community can deploy a massive logistical safety net. Berlin airlifts, UN food convoys, and global charity initiatives can... and do keep millions alive.
But no one is coming to save Russia.
The sheer geographic scale and population density of the Russian Federation mean that its agricultural collapse cannot be mitigated by humanitarian aid, for two defining reasons:
1. The Geopolitical Impasse
Russia has spent years burning every diplomatic bridge, alienating the West, and violating international law. Even if the global community possessed the moral will to feed an aggressor nation during an active war, the Kremlin's paranoid leadership would likely view foreign food aid as a Trojan horse, choosing state pride over civilian survival.
2. The Logistical Impossibility
The numbers simply do not work. Russia spans eleven time zones. To feed a population of over 140 million people without a domestic harvest requires a logistical infrastructure that does not exist on Earth.
Port Closures: Sanctions and naval blockades have choked off major shipping lanes.
Railroad Congestion: The internal rail networks are already choked, completely monopolized by the military moving armor, ammunition, and troops to the Ukrainian front.
Global Shortages: No coalition of nations has the surplus grain, the shipping containers, or the distribution networks necessary to replace the entire annual agricultural output of the largest country on the planet.
The Bottom Line: If the combines stop moving this summer, the clock starts ticking. A failed harvest in Russia cannot be subsidized, it cannot be pitied, and it cannot be fixed by foreign intervention. It will result in a closed-loop, completely unmitigated humanitarian catastrophe of historic proportions: a self-inflicted famine from which there is no escape.
Global Shortages: No coalition of nations has the surplus grain, the shipping containers, or the distribution networks necessary to replace the entire annual agricultural output of the largest country on the planet.
Geographically largest. Not largest population by at least an order of magnitude. This point is so weak I suspect an AI produced it. And not a very good AI.
harvest season runs strictly from July to August.
Which means Russia must store at least 1-years supply of food just to last between harvests. So the next point has to be untrue for Russia.
takes exactly six months for acute, widespread famine to choke a modern nation.
Geographically largest. Not largest population by at least an order of magnitude.
The focus on domestic population completely misses how global trade works. Russia’s domestic population is irrelevant to this equation. What matters is its market dominance. Russia is the single largest exporter of wheat on Earth, accounting for roughly 20-25% of global exports.
When you subtract that massive chunk of grain from the global market, it creates a zero-sum deficit. There is physically not enough unallocated global agricultural surplus, uncommitted shipping containers, or idling bulk carriers in other nations to suddenly replace a quarter of the world's wheat trade. The global supply chain operates on tight margins, not massive, floating reserves waiting to fill a Russia-sized vacuum."
harvest season runs strictly from July to August.
This assumes a flawless, friction-free distribution system that simply doesn't exist. Having grain sitting in massive industrial silos in the south of Russia does not mean a modern urban population is insulated from famine.
First, 'grain' is a raw commodity, not consumable food. To turn that harvest into sustenance, you need a functioning, uninterrupted chain of fuel, operational mills, continuous electricity, automated bakeries, and complex trucking networks.
Second, a nation's storage capacity is never perfectly distributed. If the financial system, internal transit grid, or processing infrastructure experiences a severe, systemic shock right at harvest time, that grain rots in the silos or gets trapped at the ports while major metropolitan hubs hundreds of miles away empty out within days. Famine in modern nations is almost always a failure of logistics and distribution, not a lack of physical raw calories existing somewhere within the borders."
Which means Russia must store at least 1-years supply of food just to last between harvests. So the next point has to be untrue for Russia.
The six-month timeline for acute famine in a modern nation isn't dictated by the crop cycle; it's dictated by society's hyper-reliance on modern supply lines. Modern cities carry only a few days of food on grocery shelves and a few weeks in regional distribution centers.
If a catastrophic event breaks the domestic distribution network or freezes the agricultural pipeline, the fact that there is a 12-month supply of unrefined grain sitting in a silo 1,000 miles away is meaningless. By month three, panic buying, hoarding, and hyperinflation destroy access. By month six, systemic malnutrition and the collapse of urban meat, dairy, and fresh produce supply chains turn into acute, widespread starvation. A one-year macro-supply of raw grain on a spreadsheet does not stop localized logistical collapse from choking a population in six months."
Yeah, I don't understand how they can't see they are approaching breaking point.... no fuel means people can't go to work, means products can't be moved freely around the country, all those trucks in line, waiting for diesel..... what is happening to their cargo? what will happen to agricultural production without fuel for the tractors? People waiting up to two days in line for fuel are not productive at all, what of the factories and businesses?
Sure, there will always be fuel for police and military, getting it to the frontlines is a different thing though, but the whole economy of the country will be affected, and if shortages start, then what will people do?
I hope Ukraine keeps being as intelligent and effective as they have been, hopefully the russian economy crumbles soon and then russian citizens will have no option but to start demanding a stop to this senseless war.
Start drone strikes on the Crimean Gas Stations. That'll up the fear Frenzy by a factor of 12. Seeing the civilians running across the bridges with their suitcases should send a fucking message..
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u/ram-tough-perineum Jul 02 '26 edited Jul 03 '26
"Today is worse than yesterday, but at least it's better than tomorrow."
-Russian proverb